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Intel CTO Justin
Rattner: Gap between Humans, Machines will Close by 2050
Aug. 22, 2008
Intel's chief
technology officer took a fascinating look at how technology will bring
man and machine much closer together by 2050.
Justin
Rattner, Intel Corporation's chief technology officer took a fascinating
look at how technology will bring man and machine much closer together
by 2050.
Justin Rattner, during his keynote at the Intel Developer Forum in San
Francisco, predicted big changes are ahead in social interactions,
robotics and improvements in computer's ability to sense the real world.
He said Intel's research labs are already looking at human-machine
interfaces and examining future implications to computing with some
promising changes coming much sooner than expected.
"The industry has taken much greater strides than anyone ever imagined
40 years ago," Rattner said. "There is speculation that we may be
approaching an inflection point where the rate of technology
advancements is accelerating at an exponential rate, and machines could
even overtake humans in their ability to reason, in the not so distant
future."
Cutting the Last Cord, Wireless Power
Imagine being able to walk into an airport or room with your laptop and
instead of consuming battery, it is recharged. Based on principles
proposed by MIT physicists, Intel researchers have been working on a
Wireless Resonant Energy Link (WREL). Rattner demonstrated powering a
60-watt light bulb without the use of a plug or wire of any kind, which
is more than is needed for a typical laptop.
The magic of WREL is that it promises to deliver wireless power safely
and efficiently. The technology relies on strongly coupled resonators, a
principle similar to the way a trained singer can shatter a glass using
her voice. At the receiving resonator's natural frequency, energy is
absorbed efficiently, just as a glass absorbs acoustic energy at its
natural frequency. With this technology enabled in a laptop, for
example, batteries could be recharged when the laptop gets within
several feet of the transmit resonator. Many engineering challenges
remain, but the company's researchers hope to find a way to cut the last
cord in mobile devices and someday enable wireless power in Intel-based
platforms.
Programmable Matter: Computers that Change Shape
Intel researchers are also investigating how millions of tiny
micro-robots, called catoms, could build shape-shifting materials. If
used to replace the case, display and keyboard of a computing device,
this technology could make it possible for a device to change physical
form in order to suit the specific way you are using it. A mobile
computer, for example, could be tiny when in a pocket, change to the
shape of an earpiece when used as a mobile phone, and be large and flat
with a keyboard for browsing the Internet or watching a movie.
Rattner described this as a difficult exploratory research agenda, but
steady progress is being made. He demonstrated for the first time the
results of a novel technique for fabricating tiny silicon hemispheres
using photolithography, a process used today to make silicon chips. This
capability is one of the basic structural building blocks needed to
realize functional catoms, and will make it easier to bring the
necessary computational and mechanical components together in one tiny
package less than a millimeter across. The technique is compatible with
existing high-volume manufacturing and enables the possibility to
produce such catoms in quantity at some point in the future.
Dr. Michael Garner, program manager of Emerging Materials Roadmap,
joined Rattner onstage to discuss the importance of research of novel
silicon technology, keeping Moore's Law alive and well through the next
decade and beyond. Among other things, Intel is researching how to go
beyond planar transistors to 3D transistors and is looking at using
compound semiconductors to replace silicon in the transistor channel.
Looking further out, Intel is exploring into a variety of
non-charge-based technologies that could one day replace CMOS
altogether.
Robots: From the Factory Floor to Your Kitchen
Robots
today are primarily used in the factory environment, designed to perform
a single task repeatedly and bolted down. To make robotics personal,
robots need to move and manipulate objects in cluttered and dynamic
human environments, according to Rattner. They need to be cognizant of
their surroundings by sensing and recognizing movement in a dynamic
physical world, and learn to adapt to new scenarios. Rattner
demonstrated two working personal robot prototypes developed at Intel's
research labs. One of the demonstrations showed electric field pre-touch
that has been built into a robot hand. The technique is a novel sensing
modality used by fish but not humans, so they can "feel" objects before
they even touch them. The other demonstration was a complete autonomous
mobile manipulation robot that can recognize faces and interpret and
execute commands as generic as "please clean this mess" using
state-of-the-art motion planning, manipulation, perception and
artificial intelligence.
In addition to robots becoming more human-like, Rattner said he believes
more innovation will emerge to make human and machine interaction more
robust. Randy Breen, chief product officer of Emotiv Systems, joined
Rattner onstage to demonstrate the company's EPOC headset. The Emotiv
EPOC identifies brainwave patterns, processes them in real time and
tells a game what conscious or non-conscious thoughts the user has had,
like facial expressions, conscious actions or emotions. A user with the
headset could think about smiling or lifting an object, and an avatar in
a game would execute it. EPOC can currently identify more than 30
different "detections" through the 16 sensors on the headset. |